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World Cup LIVE: Aussie probabilities of upset revealed amid $154k gamble; Argentina star doubtful

December 3, 2022
in Football
World Cup LIVE: Aussie probabilities of upset revealed amid $154k gamble; Argentina star doubtful

The Socceroos come face-to-face with historical past on Sunday morning, with the prospect to document arguably the best victory in Australian sporting historical past, going through World Cup fancies Argentina within the spherical of 16.

Lionel Messi’s powerhouse facet is a red-hot favorite however having already recorded their greatest males’s World Cup efficiency ever, Graham Arnold’s facet is dreaming of one other boilover and a primary ever quarter-final berth.

Follow Australia v Argentina from 6am AEDT Sunday in our stay weblog beneath!

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Souttar able to line up towards Messi! | 02:52

ARGENTINA STAR IN SERIOUS DOUBT

Juventus star Angel Di Maria stays doubtful to line up for Argentina towards Australia on Sunday morning after being subbed out with an damage in his nation’s closing group stage match.

Di Maria was examined the day after the Argentine win over Poland, the place he was withdrawn after complaining of thigh discomfort, initially mentioned to be a precautionary measure.

But with hours left earlier than the spherical of 16 contest his standing stays unclear.

Di Maria has performed simply 10 video games this Serie A season, lacking 12 by way of varied accidents.

South Korea rejoice dramatic win | 02:02

AUSSIE CHANCES OF PULLING HISTORIC UPSET REVEALED

Thought enjoying France was arduous? According to the numbers, this will probably be even more durable.

Stats Insider’s 10,000 simulations of Australia’s conflict with Argentina recommend the Socceroos have only a 6.6% likelihood of profitable – decrease than the 7.8% they gave them heading into the loss to France.

But that is the place the knockout stage guidelines can assist Graham Arnold’s males, as a result of they’ve the Grey Wiggle on their facet.

With a 15.5% likelihood of a draw, simply attending to penalties may permit Andrew Redmayne to turn into the hero, simply as he was within the confederation playoffs shootout that bought Australia to Qatar.

And for what it’s price, Sunday’s sport is being performed on the Ahmad bin Ali Stadium in Al Rayyan – the identical venue the place Australia surprised Peru.

The most certainly full-time rating is tipped to be 2-0 Argentina (16% likelihood), and a 1-1 draw (7%) is extra doubtless than Australia profitable by any scoreline.

Meanwhile Stats Perform offers Australia an 18.2% likelihood of advancing into the quarter-finals.

If the Socceroos advance to the quarter-finals their most certainly opponent is the Netherlands (65.9%), with Brazil their most certainly semi-final opponent ought to they extremely attain that far.

SOMEONE IS CONFIDENT… (OR RICH)

Optimistic Aussie punters have laid down some huge bets on the Socceroos heading into the showdown with Argentina.

They have been backed from $17 into $10 to win outright, with one gambler putting a whopping $11,900 at $13 odds in an try and win $154,700 with TAB.

There are no less than 12 different bets of $1000 or extra on Australia to win at odds of $13 or bigger.

Argentina is $1.22 to win after 90 minutes and $1.06 to advance, with odds of a draw ($5.50) the identical as their total odds of profitable the event.

Australia is rated a $151 likelihood of profitable the World Cup from right here, equal with South Korea and Senegal, and solely forward of Poland ($251).

Follow Australia’s Socceroos v Argentina in our stay weblog beneath!

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